The bus tours take around 8-9 hours, but you can easily take taxi tour as well and plan the trip according to your timings, this may work out to be a bit costlier than a bus tour but if you want to take a tour and get comfort as well then this is the only option, unless you want to get around...
Regarding the weather well that is something which you would only know about nearer the time, weather is not like before and in fact changes each year so you can not predict anything.
There is no harm in adding the Kasol and Tosh destinations in the same trip, in fact many travelers add these in...
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